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# Where Things Stand
- URL: https://www.mainebasketballrankings.com/where-things-stand/
- Published: 2023-02-05T20:20:30.000Z
- Updated: 2023-02-05T20:20:30.000Z
- Description: Here's what we know so far.
- Author: Lucas McNelly

One week to go in the regular season. Do you know where your team will land? 

Here's what you're looking at. Using the [Tournament Odds](https://www.mainebasketballrankings.com/tourney-odds/), this simulates the rest of the schedule 1,000 times, looking for as many combinations of Heal Points as possible, with a preference on how likely they are. It then assigns a percentage of how often a team lands on a certain seed. 

For this, I'm going to call anything that's over 95% (more or less), so it's possible one of these might not come through. Crazier things have happened. 

If anyone's locked into a seed or it's down to 2-3 teams, I'll list those. But if it looks like this, I'm just going to tell you how many teams are in the mix.

![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/6f/1b/6f1b07c4-89c2-426d-a60a-ca70e47e4639/content/images/2023/02/Screen-Shot-2023-02-05-at-11.08.10-AM.png)

These take a LONG time to run, so if I found your score after I started running this, it won't be reflected here. Also let me know if anything looks weird, because typos do slip through. 

If you want more detail, sign up for a paid subscription and look at the [Tourney Odds](https://www.mainebasketballrankings.com/tourney-odds/). They're awesome. It'll answer a lot of your questions! Plus you'll get good Heal Points, the Media Guide for the Tournament, and much, much more.

[Tournament Odds](https://www.mainebasketballrankings.com/tourney-odds/)

Here we go!

### AA North Boys

*In: 7 (Oxford Hills, Lewiston, Portland, Cheverus, Hampden, Edward Little, Windham)*

*Out: 0*

1: Oxford Hills

2/3: Lewiston/Portland

4: Cheverus

5: Hampden

6: Edward Little

7/8: Windham/Bangor/Deering

### AA North Girls

*In: 7 (Cheverus, Oxford Hills, Bangor, Windham, Hampden, Edward Little, Deering)*

*Out: 0*

1-3: Cheverus/Oxford Hills/Bangor

4-5: Windham/Hamdpen

6-7: Edward Little/Deering

8-9: Lewiston/Portland

### AA South Boys

*In: 8 (Everyone)*

*Out: 0*

1: TA

2/3: Gorham/SoPo

4: Bonny Eagle

5/6: Noble/Sanford

7: Scarborough

8: Massabesic

### AA South Girls

*In: 7 (Everyone)*

*Out: 0*

1: TA

2/3: Sanford/Gorham

4: Scarborough

5: SoPo

6: Bonny Eagle

7: Noble

### A North Boys

*In: 7 (Brewer, Nokomis, Skowhegan, Cony, Mount Blue, Lawrence Messo)*

*Out: Gardiner*

1: Brewer

2: Nokomis/Skow

3/4: Nokomis/Skow/Mt. Blue/Cony

5-7: Skow/Mt. Blue/Cony/Lawrence/Messo

8: Camden/Erskine

[Tournament Odds](https://www.mainebasketballrankings.com/tourney-odds/)

### A North Girls

*In: 8 (Gardiner, Lawrence, Cony, Camden, Nokomis, Skowhegan, Erskine, Brewer)*

*Out: 2 (Mt. Blue, Messo)*

1: Gardiner

2/3: Lawrence/Cony

4: Camden

5: Nokomis

6: Skowhegan

7: Erskine

8: Brewer

### A South Boys

*In: 7 (Falmouth, Westbrook, GNG, Marshwood, Greely, Fryeburg, Kennebun)*

*Out: Morse*

1: Falmouth/Westbrook

2-4: Falmouth/Westbrook/GNG/Marshwood

5-7: Greely/Fryeburg/Kennebunk

8: Mt. Ararat/Brunswick/Freeport/Biddeford

### A South Girls

*In: 5 (Brunswick, Mt. Ararat, GNG, Marshwood, Greely)*

*Out: 3 (Kennebunk, Morse, Biddeford)*

1: Brunswick

2/3: Mt. Ararat/GNG

4-9: Marshwood/Falmouth/Greely/Freeport/Westbrook/Fryeburg

### B North Boys

*In: 8 (Ellsworth, Orono, Winslow, Old Town, Foxcroft, Caribou, Mount View, WA)*

*Out: Belfast*

1: Ellsworth

2-4: Orono/Winslow/Old Town/Foxcroft/Caribou

5/6: Old Town/Foxcroft/Caribou

7-12: 8 teams

### B North Girls

*In: 10 (Old Town, Caribou, Ellsworth, Houlton, MDI, WA, Foxcroft, Presque Isle, MCI, Hermon)*

*Out: 4 (Waterville, Winslow, Orono, Bucksport)*

1: Old Town

2: Caribou

3: Ellsworth

4: Houlton/MDI/WA/Foxcroft

5-13: Yikes (10 teams)

### B South Boys

*In: 8 (Oceanside, Yarmouth, Spruce, Medomak, York, Maranacook, Lincoln, Cape)*

*Out: 2 (Poland/Oak Hill)*

1-3: Oceanside/Yarmouth/Spruce

4/5: Medomak/York/Maranacook

6: York/Maranacook/Lincoln/Cape

7-10: 7 teams

[Tournament Odds](https://www.mainebasketballrankings.com/tourney-odds/)

### B South Girls

*In: 7 (Oceanside, Spruce, Wells, Medomak, Lake Region, Maranacook, Yarmouth)*

*Out: Poland* 

1/2: Oceanside/Spruce

3: Wells/Oceanside/Spruce

4/5: Medomak/Lake Region/Maranacook

6: Lake Region/Maranacook

7-10: 6 teams

### C North Boys

*In: 8 (Dexter, Calais, Fort Kent, Lee, Woodland, Fort Fairfield, GSA, Penobscot Valley)*

*Out: 2 (Central Aroostook, Narraguagus)*

1/2: Dexter/Calais

3: Fort Kent

4-13: 13 teams (kind of a mess)

### C North Girls

*In: 7 (Dexter, Penobscot Valley, Hodgdon, Central, Mattanawcook, Calais, Fort Kent)*

*Out: 3 (Searsport, Lee Academy, Madawaska)*

1: Dexter

2-4: Penobscot Valley/Hodgdon/Central

5: Mattanawcook

6: Calais

7-13: 9 teams

[Tournament Odds](https://www.mainebasketballrankings.com/tourney-odds/)

### C South Boys

*In: 9 (Dirigo, OOB, Monmouth, Richmond, Mount Abram, Boothbay, Carrabec, Waynflete, Madison)*

*Out: 3 (Buckfield, Telstar, Wiscasset)*

1: Dirigo

2-4: OOB/Monmouth/Richmond/Mount Abram

5/6: Monmouth/Richmond/Mount Abram/Boothbay/Carrabec

7-13: 9 teams

### C South Girls

*In: 11 (NYA, OOB, Kents Hill, Hall-Dale, Richmond, Monmouth, Winthrop, Carrabec, Madison, Traip, Sacopee Valley)*

*Out: 4 (St. Dom, Buckfield, Boothbay, Wiscasset)*

1: NYA

2/3: OOB/Kents Hill/HD

4-13: 11 teams

### D North Boys

*In: 8 (Southern Aroostook, Machias, Bangor Christian, Schenck, Easton, Katahdin, Jonesport, Wisdom)*

*Out: 0*

1: Southern Aroostook

2-4: Machias/Bangor Christian/Schenck/Easton

3-6: Machias/Deer Isle/Katahdin/East Grand/Jonesport

7/8: Katahdin/Jonesport/Wisdom

9/10: Van Buren/Ashland/Shead/Deer Isle

### D North Girls

*In: 6 (Southern Aroostook, Wisdom, Machias, Deer Isle, Katahdin, East Grand)*

*Out: Van Buren*

1: Southern Aroostook

2: Wisdom

3-6: Machias/Deer Isle/Katahdin/East Grand/Jonesport

7-10: East Grand/Jonesport/Ashland/Washburn/Schenck/Easton

[Tournament Odds](https://www.mainebasketballrankings.com/tourney-odds/)

### D South Boys

*In: 7 (Forest Hills, Valley, Seacoast, Islesboro, Greenville, Vinalhaven, Temple)*

*Out: 0*

1: Forest Hills

2: Valley

3-5: Seacoast/Islesboro/Greenville

6: Greenville/Vinalhaven/Temple

7: Temple, probably

8: North Haven?/Pine Tree

### D South Girls

*In: 5 (Valley, Forest Hills, Seacoast Christian, Pine Tree, Vinalhaven)*

*Out: 0*

1: Valley

2/3: Forest Hills/Seacoast

4: Pine Tree

5-8: Everyone else